Tennis · resolved market
ITF Lourinha: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Joao Domingues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b3a2d2cfa85c7516fd4a2aea794c94077f8c25ab165a2c985a5286cf4b819b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joao Dominguesof Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, Joao Domingues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 71c | 1,215$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.6 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 47c | 790.24$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.48 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 61c | 530.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.04 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 32c | 467.18$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.37 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Joao Domingues | 32c | 405.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.41 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Joao Domingues | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Joao Domingues | 29c | 251.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.72 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Joao Domingues | 34c | 247.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.66 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joao Domingues | 37c | 229.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 50c | 219.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 40c | 140.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Joao Domingues | 29c | 131.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 15c | 128.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Joao Domingues | 31c | 119.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 42c | 117.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 41c | 117.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2690…4089backed Joao Domingues | 29c | 110$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21f…9fe3backed Joao Domingues | 60c | 108.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Joao Domingues | 62c | 104.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Joao Domingues | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Joao Domingues | 41c | 99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Joao Domingues | 33c | 92.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Joao Domingues | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Joao Domingues | 35c | 80.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…d0e7backed Joao Domingues | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Joao Domingues | 53c | 56.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Joao Domingues | 42c | 33.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Joao Domingues | 42c | 33.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Joao Domingues | 42c | 30.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.