Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Lamar Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b4235a1d240911c45450de0ae7cba2ba7b39f3e5e9564dc10ac4ae413bb9a68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McNeese State Cowboysof McNeese State Cowboys, Lamar Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Lamar Cardinals | 19c | 1,340$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lamar Cardinals | 17c | 1,211$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Lamar Cardinals | 30c | 1,010$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked McNeese State Cowboys | 74c | 1,000$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 347.04$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Lamar Cardinals | 6c | 265.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed McNeese State Cowboys | 59c | 236.37$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lamar Cardinals | 17c | 208.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Lamar Cardinals | 31c | 204.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lamar Cardinals | 15c | 187.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked McNeese State Cowboys | 68c | 160.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed Lamar Cardinals | 18c | 155.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Lamar Cardinals | 29c | 152.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 65c | 138$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Lamar Cardinals | 21c | 120.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lamar Cardinals | 27c | 112.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Lamar Cardinals | 18c | 109.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 83.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed McNeese State Cowboys | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Lamar Cardinals | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 26.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed McNeese State Cowboys | 75c | 19.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed McNeese State Cowboys | 61c | 19.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed McNeese State Cowboys | 78c | 15.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.