CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ba5c4651d43620ba2fa68df7b83b4d3b838d330976c585c4c7d0d47096a019b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, Betclic Apogee Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BIG | 80c | 1,577$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.53 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…e615backed BIG | 70c | 1,259$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.16 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 20c | 1,102$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.84 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 28c | 1,037$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.31 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 20c | 873.79$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.42 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 30c | 638.03$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 33c | 475.47$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.87 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked BIG | 67c | 466.25$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.55 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 33c | 402.09$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.69 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed BIG | 66c | 376.67$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed BIG | 64c | 366.29$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed BIG | 79c | 332.88$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed BIG | 72c | 329.61$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked BIG | 80c | 312.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 33c | 304.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c71…d0afbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 13c | 299.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BIG | 57c | 287.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed BIG | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG | 72c | 232.65$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 37c | 211.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…08ebbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 18c | 200.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 55c | 197.59$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d1…272fbacked BIG | 63c | 183.44$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 19c | 181.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed BIG | 71c | 174.74$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 31c | 149.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 28c | 139.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…5bbebacked BIG | 75c | 131.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed BIG | 67c | 124.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 18c | 124.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 119.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BIG | 80c | 117.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…3a2fbacked BIG | 70c | 115.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 54c | 114.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 32c | 105.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed BIG | 48c | 103.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed BIG | 46c | 95.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 87.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked BIG | 61c | 79.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…7c38backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 53c | 74.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed BIG | 69c | 74.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG | 78c | 70.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 69.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed BIG | 46c | 64.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 19c | 61.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 22c | 58.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xab48…612dbacked BIG | 70c | 55.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…5bbfbacked BIG | 60c | 53.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 53.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ff…6431backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 61c | 51.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 231 | 65.8%152 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked BIG | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked BIG | 69c | 46.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 35c | 45.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 42c | 45.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…3c12backed BIG | 70c | 42.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6e…a603backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed BIG | 67c | 39.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd445…6e49backed BIG | 66c | 38.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 33c | 37.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…8626backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked BIG | 72c | 35.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BIG | 52c | 31.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed BIG | 74c | 31.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed BIG | 56c | 31.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed BIG | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed BIG | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…1d32backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 38c | 27.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked BIG | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked BIG | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed BIG | 71c | 24.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed BIG | 62c | 24.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…e35abacked BIG | 67c | 24.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…aec8backed BIG | 64c | 18.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked BIG | 80c | 16.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.