Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Zangar Nurlanuly vs Dan Brand
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bce92d84524b4e77172ac9b4368e59015f6d80ccda956109ab107572c264788
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zangar Nurlanulyof Zangar Nurlanuly, Dan Brand
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dan Brand | 41c | 1,135$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.41 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 58c | 649.76$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.76 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Dan Brand | 48c | 620.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dan Brand | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Dan Brand | 42c | 434.67$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.56 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 58c | 324.33$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.33 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 57c | 244.32$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.53 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 54c | 217.89$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Dan Brand | 46c | 214.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 50c | 210.05$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Dan Brand | 42c | 175.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 58c | 172.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 58c | 162.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308c…74e8backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 47c | 155.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 56c | 150.05$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Dan Brand | 45c | 149.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Dan Brand | 45c | 106.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Dan Brand | 45c | 93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Dan Brand | 42c | 88.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Dan Brand | 43c | 79.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 55c | 73.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 58c | 72.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Dan Brand | 69c | 61.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Dan Brand | 43c | 56.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79e…d969backed Dan Brand | 45c | 56.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Dan Brand | 43c | 53.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dan Brand | 25c | 44.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Dan Brand | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dan Brand | 39c | 40.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Dan Brand | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Dan Brand | 52c | 33.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Dan Brand | 45c | 28.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…d2dbbacked Dan Brand | 62c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 55c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Zangar Nurlanuly | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Zangar Nurlanuly | 65c | 17.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 215 | 63.3%136 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.