Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Davide Tortora vs Nikita Bilozertsev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c07928ce10f8ef9de3754d44eddf6f607444492223ddf7523f88065510bb4c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Davide Tortoraof Davide Tortora, Nikita Bilozertsev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Davide Tortora | 42c | 4,952$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.66 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Nikita Bilozertsev | 60c | 2,545$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 54c | 2,275$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.55 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ed…efb4backed Davide Tortora | 16c | 419.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.94 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Davide Tortora | 32c | 231.68$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.64 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 62c | 179.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 57c | 146.34$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed Davide Tortora | 74c | 141.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Davide Tortora | 67c | 126$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Davide Tortora | 42c | 95.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Nikita Bilozertsev | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Nikita Bilozertsev | 29c | 59.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Davide Tortora | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Davide Tortora | 45c | 50.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nikita Bilozertsev | 58c | 49.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Davide Tortora | 73c | 47.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Davide Tortora | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 31c | 35.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Davide Tortora | 38c | 31.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 59c | 31.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Davide Tortora | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Davide Tortora | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.