Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: USE (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c32a7111b40b33d0394ec4b06308015a4d08755e0b9cae35222be15af365446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Unicorns Of Love Sexy Editionof Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition, Verdant
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,324 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dd4…2bfebacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…0968backed Verdant | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Verdant | 49c | 1,931$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.59 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 626 | 45.8%287 W · 339 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Verdant | 46c | 1,848$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.57 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 51c | 1,382$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.51 | 833 | 54.5%454 W · 379 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 50c | 1,090$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.38 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Verdant | 49c | 1,000$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 1,817 | 51.1%929 W · 888 L | +52.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 51c | 1,000$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.93 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Verdant | 49c | 999.5$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.67 | 510 | 45.7%233 W · 277 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 51c | 868.34$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.64 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 51c | 735.18$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.59 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Verdant | 50c | 499$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Verdant | 49c | 466.5$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.59 | 1,533 | 50.6%775 W · 758 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 50c | 371.56$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.22 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Verdant | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 964 | 50.1%483 W · 481 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Verdant | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 336 | 41.1%138 W · 198 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 52c | 263.71$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.58 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Verdant | 49c | 215.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 1,237 | 48.1%595 W · 642 L | +25.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Verdant | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…7eabbacked Verdant | 50c | 168.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Verdant | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Verdant | 50c | 133$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Verdant | 49c | 118.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb92…b02dbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Verdant | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Verdant | 51c | 81.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Verdant | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,079 | 44.9%485 W · 594 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f07…57cabacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 833 | 60.6%505 W · 328 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Verdant | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,616 | 48.3%780 W · 836 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9a…e8c6backed Verdant | 64c | 30.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Verdant | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Verdant | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Verdant | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd9…4d7fbacked Verdant | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: USE (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Verdant vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsUnicorns Of Love Sexy Edition won
- LoL: Verdant vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 WinnerUnicorns Of Love Sexy Edition won
- LoL: Verdant vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 WinnerUnicorns Of Love Sexy Edition won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.