Tennis · resolved market
ITF Aschaffenburg: Jule Niemeier vs Alessandra Mazzola
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c665695fcac72074836ed289209c946f846fb640db66d66f7561e538c481397
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jule Niemeierof Jule Niemeier, Alessandra Mazzola
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Jule Niemeier | 39c | 2,149$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.51 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 53c | 1,689$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.94 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jule Niemeier | 44c | 764.01$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.02 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Jule Niemeier | 27c | 243.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.87 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Jule Niemeier | 62c | 225.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Alessandra Mazzola | 57c | 193.09$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,206 | 52.4%632 W · 574 L | +27.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Alessandra Mazzola | 53c | 189.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d7…888fbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 58c | 173.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jule Niemeier | 42c | 136.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 2,492 | 51.3%1,279 W · 1,213 L | +15.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Alessandra Mazzola | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Alessandra Mazzola | 27c | 132.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 3,195 | 57.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L | +178.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jule Niemeier | 44c | 124.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 3,359 | 48.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L | -49.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jule Niemeier | 51c | 118.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Jule Niemeier | 40c | 115.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Alessandra Mazzola | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Jule Niemeier | 45c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Alessandra Mazzola | 55c | 76.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 905 | 59.6%539 W · 366 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jule Niemeier | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 4,041 | 45.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L | -28.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alessandra Mazzola | 21c | 68.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jule Niemeier | 52c | 65.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 4,992 | 38.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L | -19.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Jule Niemeier | 79c | 61.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Alessandra Mazzola | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alessandra Mazzola | 24c | 48.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 6,867 | 48.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L | +61.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 57c | 42.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Jule Niemeier | 59c | 35.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Jule Niemeier | 43c | 32.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 347 | 47.8%166 W · 181 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alessandra Mazzola | 38c | 31.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 5,455 | 56.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L | +234.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Jule Niemeier | 42c | 28.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jule Niemeier | 80c | 26.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5,553 | 48.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Alessandra Mazzola | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 411 | 61.6%253 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.