Tennis · resolved market
ITF Lexington: Anastasia Kulikova vs Thea Frodin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5caaf3e1b38df41fba8bc0844115edadd489f34b9d6cc7e0f52a44757daf6d02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anastasia Kulikovaof Anastasia Kulikova, Thea Frodin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Thea Frodin | 1c | 28,810$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.74 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thea Frodin | 40c | 15,184$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Anastasia Kulikova | 60c | 14,650$8,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,863.94 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anastasia Kulikova | 69c | 404.62$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.74 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Anastasia Kulikova | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Anastasia Kulikova | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 281 | 54.8%154 W · 127 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Anastasia Kulikova | 56c | 225.9$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Anastasia Kulikova | 25c | 196.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.17 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Anastasia Kulikova | 79c | 169.2$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Thea Frodin | 44c | 151$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Anastasia Kulikova | 55c | 110.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Thea Frodin | 25c | 105.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Thea Frodin | 42c | 102.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anastasia Kulikova | 69c | 102.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Thea Frodin | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Thea Frodin | 17c | 79.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Thea Frodin | 66c | 77.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Thea Frodin | 41c | 64.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Thea Frodin | 74c | 57.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Anastasia Kulikova | 48c | 53.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Thea Frodin | 40c | 50.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Thea Frodin | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Thea Frodin | 69c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anastasia Kulikova | 31c | 38.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Anastasia Kulikova | 63c | 36.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Thea Frodin | 44c | 33.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Anastasia Kulikova | 59c | 32.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Thea Frodin | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Thea Frodin | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Anastasia Kulikova | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Thea Frodin | 63c | 23.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Thea Frodin | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.