TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,919 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd86e…45cebacked Over55c6,659$3,662 inLost-$3,662.448856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under44c4,843$2,151 inWon+$2,691.351,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Under45c3,459$1,556 inWon+$1,902.3315642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Over55c3,049$1,677 inLost-$1,6778348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under45c1,762$793 inWon+$969.161750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over55c909.09$500 inLost-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under43c731.09$315 inWon+$416.4876551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c548.59$244 inWon+$304.323,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over56c288.02$161 inLost-$161.2985851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under46c279.24$128 inWon+$150.8116452.4%86 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Under44c227.27$100 inWon+$127.2718247.8%87 W · 95 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x620d…a2f2backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost-$10014374.8%107 W · 36 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under44c178.57$79 inWon+$10021630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd3…9610backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost-$1007055.7%39 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over55c128.69$71 inLost-$70.91,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over55c123.85$69 inLost-$68.523,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Over57c77.19$44 inLost-$4421226.9%57 W · 155 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe267…eb96backed Over56c55.36$31 inLost-$316352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb816…9cbdbacked Over58c51.72$30 inLost-$301729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e23…49a5backed Over57c50$29 inLost-$28.53141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Under44c45.05$20 inWon+$25.0519047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over57c36.05$20 inLost-$20.462,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51dd…8294backed Under46c26.09$12 inWon+$14.099455.3%52 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.