Fifa International · resolved market
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1f120fca35a4963c07cc9ac1f76d6e29bcac50b059d2c2feb33ffb42fc12dc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 1,023$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.07 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Under | 55c | 896.96$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.63 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 47c | 766.62$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.31 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Over | 43c | 595.35$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 55c | 520.87$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.22 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 43c | 389.07$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 45c | 364.61$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.92 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Over | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 54c | 339.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 43c | 337.21$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 55c | 289.61$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 57c | 287.65$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 12c | 239.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 36c | 218.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 56c | 173.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 8c | 126$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 56c | 125.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 54c | 96.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 43c | 95.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 324 | 44.1%143 W · 181 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 49c | 89.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 57c | 81.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…8704backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 61.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 56c | 52.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 74c | 33.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 50c | 32.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 54c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Team to Take First CornerCabo Verde won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.