Fifa International · resolved market
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3975a0ec057a94829e7ce1bbf22262a3ea4d8f00149a7e392b66b8222931f9ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 44c | 1,315$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.15 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Under | 59c | 893.22$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 57c | 852.67$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.47 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 43c | 559.56$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.61 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a02…8773backed Over | 55c | 541.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 67c | 475.95$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.06 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 53c | 451.41$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.06 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 406.92$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 58c | 370.69$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Over | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 41c | 340$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 310.1$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…0025backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 42c | 268.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 33c | 251$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 60c | 250.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 198.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 46c | 112.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 42c | 99.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 40c | 98.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 51c | 92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 51c | 75.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 58c | 67.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 50c | 66.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 43c | 45.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 23c | 44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ca28backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Over | 42c | 35.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 51c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 39c | 31.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 41c | 28.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Under | 57c | 26.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48a2…316dbacked Over | 41c | 24.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 58c | 18.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Team to Take First CornerCabo Verde won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.