Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d6c667b9ab2abf58f782004bfc4e80f3755c2028cebe6584c2f64138e570dc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dark Passageof Dark Passage, Team Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Phoenix | 42c | 687.33$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.44 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Dark Passage | 56c | 617.26$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.82 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78dd…3235backed Team Phoenix | 43c | 353.06$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dark Passage | 60c | 201.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dark Passage | 58c | 161.39$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed Team Phoenix | 40c | 124.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Phoenix | 35c | 102.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Dark Passage | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Team Phoenix | 49c | 99.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Team Phoenix | 37c | 96.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dark Passage | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040c…1b97backed Dark Passage | 75c | 66.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Dark Passage | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 405 | 49.1%199 W · 206 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf491…bde1backed Team Phoenix | 26c | 58.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dark Passage | 57c | 46.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dark Passage | 58c | 41.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Dark Passage | 57c | 38.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Team Phoenix | 36c | 34.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dark Passage | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Dark Passage | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Dark Passage | 64c | 16.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Play-InsDark Passage won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 WinnerTeam Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.