Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x894ad7b2d5b9b236a5f6c56dbfcea1c9ada4722130855afc92e82e6bf065aca4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Phoenixof Dark Passage, Team Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Dark Passage | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dark Passage | 37c | 1,004$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked Team Phoenix | 63c | 999.95$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.98 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Dark Passage | 23c | 829.22$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dark Passage | 34c | 812.77$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.41 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dark Passage | 2c | 533.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Dark Passage | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Dark Passage | 13c | 258.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6343backed Dark Passage | 30c | 249.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dark Passage | 34c | 227.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Dark Passage | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Dark Passage | 23c | 171.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dark Passage | 10c | 135.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Team Phoenix | 71c | 135.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Dark Passage | 18c | 114.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Phoenix | 43c | 105.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Dark Passage | 11c | 96.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Team Phoenix | 50c | 95.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…3594backed Team Phoenix | 70c | 85.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Team Phoenix | 69c | 69.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Dark Passage | 50c | 62.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Phoenix | 65c | 60.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed Team Phoenix | 36c | 59.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…1dcebacked Dark Passage | 35c | 54.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Dark Passage | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Team Phoenix | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Team Phoenix | 63c | 47.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dark Passage | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Team Phoenix | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Phoenix | 37c | 41.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Dark Passage | 48c | 34.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Dark Passage | 42c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 88 | 78.4%69 W · 19 L | +12.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…96f3backed Dark Passage | 69c | 29.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Dark Passage | 64c | 19.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 405 | 49.1%199 W · 206 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…6b12backed Dark Passage | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Play-InsDark Passage won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 WinnerDark Passage won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.