Tennis · resolved market
Cattolica: Samuele Pieri vs Oriol Roca Batalla
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5da2f5ec686b257eff5800b3d727662d4038a5dac7357018459ebf4ffd8d1622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriol Roca Batallaof Samuele Pieri, Oriol Roca Batalla
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 62c | 2,410$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.59 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Samuele Pieri | 54c | 1,816$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.81 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samuele Pieri | 11c | 1,753$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 60c | 1,108$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.2 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Samuele Pieri | 40c | 990.85$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.7 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samuele Pieri | 4c | 944.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 66c | 904.98$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Samuele Pieri | 35c | 770.55$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.51 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Samuele Pieri | 44c | 675.31$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.6 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 63c | 468.75$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.75 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Samuele Pieri | 38c | 403.25$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 65c | 390.46$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.91 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Samuele Pieri | 35c | 292.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Samuele Pieri | 38c | 289.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 62c | 240$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 63c | 239$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Samuele Pieri | 19c | 209.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Samuele Pieri | 36c | 168.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samuele Pieri | 41c | 152.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samuele Pieri | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 61c | 137.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 63c | 127.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Samuele Pieri | 36c | 117.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Samuele Pieri | 45c | 114$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Samuele Pieri | 33c | 109.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Samuele Pieri | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 62c | 82.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Samuele Pieri | 17c | 80.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 64c | 77.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 69c | 77.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Samuele Pieri | 35c | 72.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Samuele Pieri | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samuele Pieri | 28c | 67.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Samuele Pieri | 21c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 62c | 61.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Samuele Pieri | 38c | 61.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 63c | 58.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Samuele Pieri | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 59c | 43.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 61c | 37.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Samuele Pieri | 40c | 36.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 56c | 35.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…d18ebacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.