Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gentofte: Eero Vasa vs Petr Nesterov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dd6efb65e2b108e41b5c04e9c3d274464ce2f9a646c5e0f76f23b9a69c38e47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Petr Nesterovof Eero Vasa, Petr Nesterov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Petr Nesterov | 56c | 9,972$5,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.79 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Eero Vasa | 42c | 5,822$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.46 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eero Vasa | 48c | 3,238$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.46 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eero Vasa | 36c | 1,412$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.9 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693b…84e3backed Petr Nesterov | 54c | 212.13$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Eero Vasa | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 281 | 54.8%154 W · 127 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d0…2a3abacked Petr Nesterov | 73c | 149.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 164 | 37.8%62 W · 102 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Petr Nesterov | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Petr Nesterov | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Petr Nesterov | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Eero Vasa | 46c | 107.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Eero Vasa | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eero Vasa | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Eero Vasa | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Eero Vasa | 29c | 89.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Petr Nesterov | 46c | 84.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eero Vasa | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Petr Nesterov | 60c | 76.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Petr Nesterov | 44c | 72.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Eero Vasa | 44c | 68.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Eero Vasa | 39c | 62.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…f00bbacked Eero Vasa | 31c | 58.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Petr Nesterov | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Petr Nesterov | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Petr Nesterov | 70c | 44.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Petr Nesterov | 49c | 44.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Petr Nesterov | 80c | 43.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 164 | 67.1%110 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…d405backed Petr Nesterov | 54c | 42.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…c2eabacked Eero Vasa | 34c | 37.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Eero Vasa | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Eero Vasa | 30c | 34.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Eero Vasa | 34c | 33.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Petr Nesterov | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Petr Nesterov | 63c | 23.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Petr Nesterov | 74c | 22.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Petr Nesterov | 55c | 21.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.