CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs NIP (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5df27e40745b49313b546ddb1885468eda6eab33940f12dc696d6e677a8e05fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof Gaimin Gladiators, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33ba…7bbfbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 18c | 2,895$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 23c | 2,796$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…2644backed Gaimin Gladiators | 14c | 2,060$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Gaimin Gladiators | 31c | 1,615$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked NIP | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.78 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Gaimin Gladiators | 29c | 1,309$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.07 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 79c | 1,029$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.47 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Gaimin Gladiators | 30c | 837.86$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.36 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 33c | 758$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.14 | 529 | 36.3%192 W · 337 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed NIP | 67c | 708$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.64 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NIP | 76c | 683.05$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.64 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed NIP | 70c | 680$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Gaimin Gladiators | 29c | 645.13$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 539 | 45.5%245 W · 294 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NIP | 75c | 633.25$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.71 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…450dbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 14c | 518$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…a6bcbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 16c | 430$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Gaimin Gladiators | 26c | 427.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NIP | 69c | 413.71$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed NIP | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…0722backed Gaimin Gladiators | 17c | 394$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Gaimin Gladiators | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…8917backed NIP | 70c | 303.68$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked NIP | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed NIP | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 217 | 23%50 W · 167 L | -35.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NIP | 76c | 283.13$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Gaimin Gladiators | 26c | 243.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked NIP | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked NIP | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked NIP | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Gaimin Gladiators | 22c | 182.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked NIP | 70c | 166$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked NIP | 73c | 158.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Gaimin Gladiators | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed NIP | 70c | 143.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe16…0621backed Gaimin Gladiators | 16c | 142$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed NIP | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed NIP | 70c | 122.86$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP | 71c | 122.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Gaimin Gladiators | 31c | 107$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77a…f876backed Gaimin Gladiators | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…13fdbacked NIP | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Gaimin Gladiators | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed NIP | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…70dcbacked NIP | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…2f13backed Gaimin Gladiators | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f91…bf28backed Gaimin Gladiators | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…a6e2backed NIP | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Gaimin Gladiators | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed NIP | 69c | 88.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Gaimin Gladiators | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP | 71c | 75.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Gaimin Gladiators | 20c | 74.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked NIP | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked NIP | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked NIP | 70c | 61.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed NIP | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Gaimin Gladiators | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…ec13backed NIP | 70c | 36.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…4c25backed NIP | 78c | 34.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb86f…da81backed NIP | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked NIP | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked NIP | 70c | 29.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 470 | 47.9%225 W · 245 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa7…2bb4backed NIP | 71c | 29.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed NIP | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked NIP | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed NIP | 74c | 21.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NIP | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked NIP | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed NIP | 71c | 17.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked NIP | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs NIP (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.