Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Carole Monnet vs Francesca Jones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5df76f73b5860065e6963b84ecf4c3c5ff031bbda7864243bf1b52dddd0b540f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesca Jonesof Carole Monnet, Francesca Jones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Carole Monnet | 15c | 13,063$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.78 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carole Monnet | 16c | 6,359$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.49 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Francesca Jones | 76c | 4,279$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.65 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Carole Monnet | 23c | 4,034$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.28 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Carole Monnet | 27c | 3,467$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Carole Monnet | 12c | 2,257$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.81 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Francesca Jones | 79c | 1,454$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.08 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Francesca Jones | 75c | 1,425$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Francesca Jones | 77c | 1,345$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.73 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francesca Jones | 79c | 1,189$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.9 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Francesca Jones | 70c | 1,179$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.42 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Carole Monnet | 33c | 929.34$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.79 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Carole Monnet | 16c | 769$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Carole Monnet | 28c | 642.76$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.46 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Carole Monnet | 22c | 598.48$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Carole Monnet | 12c | 504.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…0890backed Carole Monnet | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Carole Monnet | 23c | 497.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Carole Monnet | 36c | 494.64$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Carole Monnet | 20c | 493.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Francesca Jones | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Carole Monnet | 14c | 343.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Francesca Jones | 74c | 304.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Carole Monnet | 16c | 268.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Francesca Jones | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Francesca Jones | 73c | 246.23$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Francesca Jones | 73c | 239.67$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Francesca Jones | 73c | 239.67$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Carole Monnet | 23c | 196.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Carole Monnet | 14c | 177.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Carole Monnet | 20c | 160.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Francesca Jones | 78c | 111.82$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Francesca Jones | 77c | 104.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Carole Monnet | 22c | 101.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Francesca Jones | 75c | 101.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Francesca Jones | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Carole Monnet | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Francesca Jones | 77c | 99.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 257 | 63.4%163 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Carole Monnet | 19c | 84.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Carole Monnet | 42c | 80.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Carole Monnet | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Carole Monnet | 27c | 75.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Carole Monnet | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked Carole Monnet | 21c | 71.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Francesca Jones | 74c | 70.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Francesca Jones | 77c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Carole Monnet | 17c | 67.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d5…138ebacked Francesca Jones | 66c | 62.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Francesca Jones | 78c | 51.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Carole Monnet | 22c | 50.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Francesca Jones | 79c | 50.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Francesca Jones | 55c | 43.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Francesca Jones | 76c | 40.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Francesca Jones | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Francesca Jones | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Francesca Jones | 64c | 30.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Francesca Jones | 71c | 24.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Francesca Jones | 74c | 21.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Francesca Jones | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…584cbacked Francesca Jones | 67c | 20.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…55fdbacked Francesca Jones | 74c | 19.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Francesca Jones | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Francesca Jones | 73c | 19.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Francesca Jones | 75c | 18.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Francesca Jones | 69c | 16.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Francesca Jones | 79c | 16.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 215 | 51.6%111 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked Francesca Jones | 77c | 15.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 236 | 34.7%82 W · 154 L | -37.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Francesca Jones | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Francesca Jones | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.