Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e052a5720a5fcab5543485d8288994b2d30b20def42a9aa8d3c7f9bc473950e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noelia Zeballosof Noelia Zeballos, Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Noelia Zeballos | 44c | 19,888$8,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,080.81 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 56c | 13,194$7,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,368.72 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Noelia Zeballos | 37c | 11,923$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,506.24 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 55c | 9,539$5,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,237.64 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 59c | 1,988$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.62 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 56c | 1,617$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.51 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Noelia Zeballos | 58c | 1,544$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.37 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Noelia Zeballos | 53c | 1,321$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.12 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 54c | 588.74$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.32 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Noelia Zeballos | 48c | 516.81$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.74 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Noelia Zeballos | 45c | 431.47$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.31 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 34c | 420.8$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 252 | 40.5%102 W · 150 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 54c | 410.89$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.58 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…7650backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 61c | 371.44$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Noelia Zeballos | 66c | 353.5$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.54 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Noelia Zeballos | 48c | 319.67$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Noelia Zeballos | 52c | 318.25$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Noelia Zeballos | 47c | 317.7$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Noelia Zeballos | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Noelia Zeballos | 76c | 195.89$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 52c | 192.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…2488backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 37c | 135.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Noelia Zeballos | 26c | 133.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 57c | 128.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 56c | 126.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 54c | 111.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf5…20f8backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 27c | 97.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Noelia Zeballos | 40c | 92.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Noelia Zeballos | 70c | 82.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 26c | 71.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 73c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Noelia Zeballos | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 42c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Noelia Zeballos | 71c | 51.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 42c | 50.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 40c | 44.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Noelia Zeballos | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x655b…ec8bbacked Noelia Zeballos | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.