La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e61aede64b4cc498d1ca7c7cfb16496c99439d9885f2c31d710c7af19c02529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,376 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 17c | 1,250$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9a…d516backed Yes | 22c | 513.93$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e8…cc63backed No | 78c | 513.93$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 16c | 512.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 17c | 311.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 13c | 304.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 60c | 291.67$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 288.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 13c | 209.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 15c | 146.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed No | 71c | 126.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.5wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 17c | 122$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…0687backed No | 60c | 80.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4296…fca1backed Yes | 21c | 73.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 35c | 67.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 64.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 64.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Yes | 19c | 63.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee77…ad2abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…c4d6backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.