CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fd61d75a8e39fc6359eaa01255db3cff3deabfc571891ed2a1955526ad98c1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WW Teamof Nemiga, WW Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nemiga | 62c | 1,596$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.55 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nemiga | 62c | 1,186$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.06 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nemiga | 54c | 563.36$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.94 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…ef1dbacked WW Team | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked WW Team | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked WW Team | 39c | 418.28$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.55 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed WW Team | 72c | 380$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.01 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nemiga | 37c | 346.48$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.93 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked WW Team | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Nemiga | 63c | 279.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked WW Team | 72c | 271.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked WW Team | 37c | 268.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.36 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed WW Team | 38c | 246.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.49 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed WW Team | 39c | 241$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.66 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed WW Team | 37c | 223.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242a…7402backed WW Team | 38c | 186.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked WW Team | 37c | 168$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked WW Team | 38c | 152.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed WW Team | 37c | 132.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga | 39c | 115.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed WW Team | 65c | 108.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Nemiga | 63c | 95.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked WW Team | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked WW Team | 38c | 71.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nemiga | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked WW Team | 45c | 52.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed WW Team | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nemiga | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Nemiga | 61c | 34.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked WW Team | 37c | 33.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked Nemiga | 63c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked WW Team | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 PlayoffsWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.