CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6522ece2ad68b356a2db3db721be772078d9911f4d0d820b856e09f76b7ba297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, WW Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked WW Team | 34c | 1,958$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.79 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Nemiga | 70c | 1,655$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.49 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nemiga | 61c | 1,239$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.23 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nemiga | 61c | 1,177$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.68 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 64c | 1,012$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.68 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…2571backed WW Team | 39c | 883.11$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked WW Team | 41c | 482.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked WW Team | 27c | 474.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed WW Team | 4c | 315$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Nemiga | 75c | 300$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed WW Team | 40c | 291.24$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.76 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked WW Team | 38c | 255.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed WW Team | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed WW Team | 40c | 240$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked WW Team | 39c | 178.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Nemiga | 61c | 159.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked WW Team | 37c | 122.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked WW Team | 38c | 113.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked WW Team | 19c | 109$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed WW Team | 37c | 108.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed WW Team | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Nemiga | 61c | 71.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec2…f266backed WW Team | 37c | 58.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…b8debacked Nemiga | 65c | 56.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed WW Team | 38c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked WW Team | 37c | 39.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…bd87backed WW Team | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked WW Team | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed WW Team | 35c | 31.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nemiga | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nemiga | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed WW Team | 37c | 28.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Nemiga | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nemiga | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Nemiga | 72c | 13.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 PlayoffsWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team - Map 2 WinnerWW Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.