UFC · resolved market
Isaih Quinones vs. Branden Bordeaux
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fe3a9aa5ae1482c45e42dc94ddb9e2f3c654dfb2a54708460d462762ccee924
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bordeauxof Quinones, Bordeaux
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Quinones | 53c | 145.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bordeaux | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Bordeaux | 46c | 86.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Quinones | 54c | 76.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…20abbacked Bordeaux | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Bordeaux | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Quinones | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Quinones | 54c | 29.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Isaih Quinones vs. Branden Bordeauxthis page
- Anthony Defrank vs. Reiley MontoyaMontoya won
- Dorian Perez vs. Pono PauPerez won
- Paige VanZant vs. Mikael-Michelle BrownVanZant won
- Robert Trujillo vs. Dakota McGregorTrujillo won
- Wes Mena vs. Aaron TurnerMena won
- Wesley Drain vs. Ke’ali’i KanekoaKanekoa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.