Tennis · resolved market
ITF Londrina: Jose Pereira vs Mateus Alves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x601dbf1033aca1f60bf4d3f2be5ada6d535017b99b80a41b304331ec907909bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jose Pereiraof Jose Pereira, Mateus Alves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mateus Alves | 34c | 24,701$8,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,437.42 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Jose Pereira | 67c | 24,023$16,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,891.91 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Jose Pereira | 63c | 22,743$14,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,498.39 | 220 | 62.7%138 W · 82 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mateus Alves | 38c | 12,649$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.55 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Mateus Alves | 25c | 2,875$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.47 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Mateus Alves | 39c | 2,329$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.94 | 892 | 63.8%569 W · 323 L | +62.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mateus Alves | 35c | 1,692$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.97 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Mateus Alves | 1c | 1,330$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mateus Alves | 44c | 688.71$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.44 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Mateus Alves | 6c | 478$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -11.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mateus Alves | 3c | 455$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Mateus Alves | 25c | 400.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Mateus Alves | 39c | 377.41$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mateus Alves | 28c | 374$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Mateus Alves | 39c | 157.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 579 | 48.5%281 W · 298 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Mateus Alves | 9c | 150.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 663 | 47.1%312 W · 351 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Mateus Alves | 25c | 102.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Mateus Alves | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Mateus Alves | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 55.8%169 W · 134 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Mateus Alves | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Mateus Alves | 26c | 48.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 576 | 45.7%263 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…7c69backed Mateus Alves | 61c | 32.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -32.8wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mateus Alves | 50c | 32.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Jose Pereira | 80c | 22.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Mateus Alves | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.