TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Phantomof EYEBALLERS, Phantom
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,562 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61a8…1ad4backed Phantom67c1,300$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.543327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Phantom40c805$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.577351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked EYEBALLERS60c755$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4531,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Phantom59c682$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.052,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127e…3dd8backed EYEBALLERS34c670$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.82268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed EYEBALLERS65c560$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36416950.9%86 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Phantom37c519.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.591,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed EYEBALLERS43c440.93$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1930153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed EYEBALLERS66c436.44$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6467645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked EYEBALLERS79c376.04$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.836952.2%36 W · 33 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-22.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed EYEBALLERS57c333.44$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.149063.3%57 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked EYEBALLERS46c313.31$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.724,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa3…ff46backed Phantom44c282.44$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.173315.2%5 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-65.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked EYEBALLERS22c234.83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.013,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb2…9db4backed EYEBALLERS59c219.72$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed EYEBALLERS54c192.87$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.411,48458%861 W · 623 L+66.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked EYEBALLERS29c180.31$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.362,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked EYEBALLERS55c147.3$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7115337.3%57 W · 96 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c79…ddf6backed EYEBALLERS72c132.19$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958664%55 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked EYEBALLERS23c123.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.131,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked EYEBALLERS22c120.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.192,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0c…5ad0backed Phantom33c120.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5710643.4%46 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed EYEBALLERS35c91.06$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4711742.7%50 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Phantom37c83.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3962048.2%299 W · 321 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Phantom66c76.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1924260.3%146 W · 96 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f90…4af9backed EYEBALLERS57c66.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked EYEBALLERS51c62.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3236639.9%146 W · 220 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed EYEBALLERS78c60.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4735147.9%168 W · 183 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Phantom42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.72,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed EYEBALLERS47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.57339.7%29 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed EYEBALLERS61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51,82847.6%871 W · 957 L-54.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed EYEBALLERS69c47.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.852,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Phantom52c46.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1616641%68 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked EYEBALLERS53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.22,08447%979 W · 1,105 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9135…8d9cbacked Phantom31c39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.027740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Phantom39c38.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.521,03454.9%568 W · 466 L-2.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed EYEBALLERS61c35.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7816349.7%81 W · 82 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Phantom51c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.192,34346.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L-49.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed EYEBALLERS58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3440175.1%301 W · 100 L+20.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb17a…f7e5backed Phantom38c29.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e76…dd6bbacked EYEBALLERS57c28.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-60.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa80…6934backed Phantom73c23.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd181…6a2bbacked EYEBALLERS65c19.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.765757.9%33 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.