MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x605f153a59eb99dffa81cc6c2e42cd239c57472b58d2a3cafd6910e3817cda65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Kia Tigers, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 1,065$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 62c | 749.37$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.24 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kia Tigers | 21c | 236.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lotte Giants | 48c | 219$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 193.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kia Tigers | 12c | 181$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lotte Giants | 63c | 163.47$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 124$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kia Tigers | 49c | 115$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 112.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 48c | 96.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lotte Giants | 37c | 55.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…d937backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 53.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 50.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kia Tigers | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Kia Tigers | 47c | 43.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 43.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 38.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…df0abacked Kia Tigers | 53c | 38.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lotte Giants | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 63c | 35.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 30.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.