Tennis · resolved market
ITF Horb: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Loes Ebeling Koning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6060d8c19c712ad68844be35bd9e07f006064804023c53aace65d7e3df8985d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Loes Ebeling Koningof Lucie Nguyen Tan, Loes Ebeling Koning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lucie Nguyen Tan | 69c | 5,793$3,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.55 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 25c | 4,566$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.59 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Loes Ebeling Koning | 40c | 1,055$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.23 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 17c | 592$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.36 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Lucie Nguyen Tan | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Lucie Nguyen Tan | 78c | 330$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.9 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 26c | 242.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.31 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Lucie Nguyen Tan | 48c | 120.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Lucie Nguyen Tan | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Loes Ebeling Koning | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Loes Ebeling Koning | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 19c | 93.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Lucie Nguyen Tan | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lucie Nguyen Tan | 51c | 81.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Lucie Nguyen Tan | 79c | 75.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…4f6abacked Loes Ebeling Koning | 56c | 62.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Lucie Nguyen Tan | 37c | 61.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Lucie Nguyen Tan | 72c | 54.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Lucie Nguyen Tan | 72c | 54.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Lucie Nguyen Tan | 72c | 54.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Lucie Nguyen Tan | 79c | 52.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lucie Nguyen Tan | 59c | 52.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Lucie Nguyen Tan | 55c | 50.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Lucie Nguyen Tan | 59c | 45.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Loes Ebeling Koning | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lucie Nguyen Tan | 53c | 31.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Lucie Nguyen Tan | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Lucie Nguyen Tan | 58c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Lucie Nguyen Tan | 54c | 20.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.