Tennis · resolved market
Metepec: Stefan Kozlov vs Rodrigo Pacheco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60666e095d0a20d15a5c4a0e6a51ce0dc6ae962f6a0f1bc0c01a6db34c299621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pachecoof Kozlov, Pacheco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Kozlov | 9c | 1,617$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacheco | 70c | 971.54$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.55 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kozlov | 13c | 937.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Kozlov | 32c | 877$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.35 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Kozlov | 32c | 747.47$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.19 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Kozlov | 21c | 718$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Kozlov | 30c | 676.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kozlov | 46c | 635.82$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.55 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Pacheco | 49c | 607.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9206…42a6backed Pacheco | 73c | 520$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kozlov | 31c | 516$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Kozlov | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Kozlov | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +199.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Pacheco | 47c | 419.17$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.16 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd12…5503backed Kozlov | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kozlov | 43c | 396.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.44 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Kozlov | 13c | 392.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Kozlov | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +1,288.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…175cbacked Kozlov | 42c | 234.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Pacheco | 72c | 222.08$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Kozlov | 40c | 217.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…39b1backed Pacheco | 47c | 213.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Kozlov | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacheco | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…54f4backed Kozlov | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Kozlov | 56c | 178.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kozlov | 47c | 151.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Kozlov | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kozlov | 53c | 139.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Kozlov | 30c | 118.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Pacheco | 64c | 114.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pacheco | 47c | 113$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Kozlov | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Pacheco | 60c | 95.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed Kozlov | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.70per pick | 14cpaid | +691.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Kozlov | 50c | 79.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kozlov | 36c | 74.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Kozlov | 16c | 69.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…e2ebbacked Kozlov | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…8840backed Pacheco | 73c | 55.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Kozlov | 54c | 51.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Kozlov | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.32per pick | 26cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Kozlov | 49c | 47.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Pacheco | 59c | 44.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Pacheco | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Kozlov | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pacheco | 62c | 28.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…3747backed Kozlov | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Pacheco | 71c | 19.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.