Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x606993b1d5c304ae20b7461c218f759cd06b63745fa6205d2015b2236a17f30c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navy Midshipmenof Navy Midshipmen, Army Black Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Navy Midshipmen | 45c | 2,156$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.09 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Army Black Knights | 54c | 1,696$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.92 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Army Black Knights | 56c | 1,512$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.66 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Army Black Knights | 57c | 611.42$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.48 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Navy Midshipmen | 44c | 508.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Navy Midshipmen | 49c | 433.96$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.68 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 43c | 341$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.95 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Navy Midshipmen | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Army Black Knights | 57c | 234.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Navy Midshipmen | 45c | 102.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Navy Midshipmen | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Navy Midshipmen | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Navy Midshipmen | 45c | 99.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Navy Midshipmen | 45c | 78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Army Black Knights | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Navy Midshipmen | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Army Black Knights | 57c | 22.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-9.5)this page
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Army Black KnightsNavy Midshipmen won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 137.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 138.5Over won
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-7.5)Navy Midshipmen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.