Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Navy Midshipmen vs. Army Black Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe40bdc9814d4b37d514b9dd2a29dba82d1af413536d9b8935d759d7238741aa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navy Midshipmenof Navy Midshipmen, Army Black Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 79c | 3,864$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.56 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Army Black Knights | 19c | 2,177$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Army Black Knights | 7c | 1,750$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Army Black Knights | 21c | 1,300$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Army Black Knights | 19c | 930.1$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.45 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Army Black Knights | 20c | 578.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Army Black Knights | 26c | 449$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Army Black Knights | 7c | 431.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Army Black Knights | 22c | 371.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Army Black Knights | 20c | 344.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Army Black Knights | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Army Black Knights | 19c | 272.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Army Black Knights | 21c | 220$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Army Black Knights | 10c | 204.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Army Black Knights | 20c | 200.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Army Black Knights | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Army Black Knights | 22c | 185.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Army Black Knights | 9c | 180.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Army Black Knights | 20c | 161.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Army Black Knights | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Army Black Knights | 21c | 132.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Army Black Knights | 22c | 121.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d6…b98cbacked Army Black Knights | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Army Black Knights | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Army Black Knights | 21c | 90.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Army Black Knights | 18c | 85.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Navy Midshipmen | 79c | 74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…f93bbacked Army Black Knights | 21c | 72.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…d0f5backed Army Black Knights | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Army Black Knights | 19c | 58.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 80c | 47.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Navy Midshipmen | 80c | 43.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Navy Midshipmen | 80c | 39.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Navy Midshipmen | 80c | 15.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf64…dc9fbacked Navy Midshipmen | 79c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…afbabacked Navy Midshipmen | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Army Black Knightsthis page
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 137.5Over won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 138.5Over won
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-7.5)Navy Midshipmen won
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-9.5)Navy Midshipmen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.