Tennis · resolved market
ITF Eupen: Arthur Nagel vs Martin Van Der Meerschen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x607c5f25eb6e723807329001247c0327cab4d5e937c030597b04aa1cbb956dc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martin Van Der Meerschenof Arthur Nagel, Martin Van Der Meerschen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 37c | 2,054$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.56 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed Arthur Nagel | 2c | 1,063$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Arthur Nagel | 3c | 1,014$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Arthur Nagel | 70c | 592.86$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.24 | 82 | 78%64 W · 18 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Arthur Nagel | 31c | 492.19$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Arthur Nagel | 30c | 364$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arthur Nagel | 27c | 343.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Arthur Nagel | 47c | 296.66$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.52 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 34c | 277.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.41 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 37c | 270.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.93 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Arthur Nagel | 61c | 237$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Arthur Nagel | 42c | 212.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Arthur Nagel | 38c | 209.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Arthur Nagel | 44c | 203.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…8d8dbacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 45c | 165.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Arthur Nagel | 58c | 154$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…16b9backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 49c | 150.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Arthur Nagel | 21c | 101.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 69c | 96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 39c | 88.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 30c | 79.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 61c | 78.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Arthur Nagel | 22c | 67.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Arthur Nagel | 45c | 62.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 61c | 59.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…473ebacked Arthur Nagel | 28c | 57.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 28c | 49.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 65c | 33.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Arthur Nagel | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 40c | 30.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 208 | 66.3%138 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 61c | 27.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 62c | 25.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 59c | 22.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Arthur Nagel | 56c | 17.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.