Tennis · resolved market
Anastasia Potapova vs. Anna Kalinskaya: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60d56296c3c20bc04872a99682c414ba7ff16f143cb25d2fa807eb66df5fbf8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over 2.5 | 42c | 12,508$5,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,304.8 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 11,534$6,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,723.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Under 2.5 | 60c | 1,012$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Over 2.5 | 42c | 590.09$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.09 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 344.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 296.27$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.87 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Over 2.5 | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 223 | 59.6%133 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 192.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 117.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Over 2.5 | 75c | 84.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under 2.5 | 59c | 77.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Over 2.5 | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under 2.5 | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under 2.5 | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Under 2.5 | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under 2.5 | 49c | 25.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Anastasia Potapova vs. Anna Kalinskaya: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Potapova vs. Kalinskaya: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Potapova vs. Kalinskaya: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna KalinskayaAnna Kalinskaya won
- Set 1 Winner: Potapova vs KalinskayaKalinskaya won
- Set Handicap: Potapova (-1.5) vs Kalinskaya (+1.5)Kalinskaya won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.