Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Potapova vs Kalinskaya
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fb634ef0e9a108522e6c1fb65adf4bcede4a5e6de3c30f977402e5612c17408
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kalinskayaof Potapova, Kalinskaya
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kalinskaya | 33c | 2,646$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.81 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Potapova | 37c | 1,785$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.48 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…6a9fbacked Potapova | 37c | 529.79$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Potapova | 45c | 509.59$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.73 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Kalinskaya | 21c | 474.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.54 | 155 | 32.9%51 W · 104 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Kalinskaya | 15c | 449.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.1 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Potapova | 65c | 334.39$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.32 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kalinskaya | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Potapova | 78c | 285.95$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.04 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Kalinskaya | 38c | 259.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.65 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Kalinskaya | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…8613backed Kalinskaya | 70c | 143.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Kalinskaya | 67c | 142.83$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Potapova | 65c | 141.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Potapova | 34c | 131.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Potapova | 48c | 123.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Potapova | 63c | 94.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kalinskaya | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kalinskaya | 64c | 78.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kalinskaya | 38c | 78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Potapova | 60c | 72.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Potapova | 75c | 69.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Potapova | 53c | 50.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…7013backed Kalinskaya | 68c | 50.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Potapova | 79c | 48.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Potapova | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x248f…e892backed Kalinskaya | 65c | 43.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Potapova | 62c | 40.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Kalinskaya | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Potapova | 51c | 30.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Potapova | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Potapova | 62c | 26.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…73febacked Potapova | 62c | 26.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Potapova | 43c | 24.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Kalinskaya | 46c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Potapova vs Kalinskayathis page
- Anastasia Potapova vs. Anna Kalinskaya: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Potapova vs. Kalinskaya: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Potapova vs. Kalinskaya: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna KalinskayaAnna Kalinskaya won
- Set Handicap: Potapova (-1.5) vs Kalinskaya (+1.5)Kalinskaya won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.