Tennis · resolved market
Kitzbuehel: Julia Grabher vs Ekaterina Perelygina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60e94553fca1436b4ffc521bc1d7bf4b927c86c660e98e9e881153373d3fbac2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julia Grabherof Julia Grabher, Ekaterina Perelygina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 9c | 28,741$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.12 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 30c | 5,951$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.19 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Ekaterina Perelygina | 12c | 4,685$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.13 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ekaterina Perelygina | 9c | 3,409$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 12c | 3,205$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Ekaterina Perelygina | 1c | 1,715$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +496.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 2c | 1,674$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Ekaterina Perelygina | 32c | 1,540$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.42 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Julia Grabher | 70c | 1,211$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.88 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ekaterina Perelygina | 15c | 999.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 17c | 823.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 34c | 688.65$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.9 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 26c | 650.46$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.09 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…da75backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 7c | 536.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Ekaterina Perelygina | 16c | 320.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…e0ccbacked Ekaterina Perelygina | 13c | 306.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 15c | 300.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Ekaterina Perelygina | 15c | 299.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Ekaterina Perelygina | 30c | 263.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…c784backed Julia Grabher | 78c | 256.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Ekaterina Perelygina | 39c | 240$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 23c | 226.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Julia Grabher | 76c | 223.36$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Julia Grabher | 70c | 220.87$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 15c | 212.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ekaterina Perelygina | 16c | 187.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Julia Grabher | 73c | 184.36$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 38c | 150.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 16c | 149.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Julia Grabher | 73c | 111$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Julia Grabher | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 12c | 97.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Ekaterina Perelygina | 39c | 92.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Julia Grabher | 62c | 75.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ekaterina Perelygina | 15c | 72.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Ekaterina Perelygina | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Julia Grabher | 77c | 64.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…51bfbacked Ekaterina Perelygina | 27c | 60.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Julia Grabher | 58c | 54.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Julia Grabher | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Ekaterina Perelygina | 23c | 48.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Julia Grabher | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Julia Grabher | 67c | 41.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 330 | 62.7%207 W · 123 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 36c | 40.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 32c | 37.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Ekaterina Perelygina | 34c | 32.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Julia Grabher | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Julia Grabher | 76c | 30.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Julia Grabher | 63c | 30.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Julia Grabher | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Julia Grabher | 76c | 27.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Julia Grabher | 69c | 27.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Julia Grabher | 65c | 20.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 291 | 47.8%139 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Julia Grabher | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b2…aea0backed Julia Grabher | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kitzbuehel: Julia Grabher vs Ekaterina Perelyginathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Grabher vs PerelyginaGrabher won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.