Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Ninetails vs Xipto GC (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6119f8929493e12e674742d51f269fee7a3b4cb3e741980081898aee6622e180
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ninetailsof Ninetails, Xipto GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed Ninetails | 38c | 1,597$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.35 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Xipto GC | 74c | 1,565$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe532…b5c7backed Xipto GC | 72c | 1,549$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4e…b333backed Ninetails | 30c | 985$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +157.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Ninetails | 25c | 820.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.72 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…7c64backed Ninetails | 30c | 800$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd02…9de4backed Ninetails | 30c | 710$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…a098backed Ninetails | 29c | 621$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…552dbacked Xipto GC | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e2…4293backed Ninetails | 30c | 586$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe263…4348backed Xipto GC | 70c | 550$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Xipto GC | 72c | 494$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.68 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…fc11backed Xipto GC | 70c | 435$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b7…63bbbacked Xipto GC | 70c | 430$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9098…8114backed Xipto GC | 71c | 407$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Ninetails | 33c | 388.77$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.48 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…f266backed Ninetails | 29c | 385$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Xipto GC | 44c | 381.8$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.24 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e84…858fbacked Xipto GC | 70c | 370$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…4227backed Xipto GC | 70c | 356$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Ninetails | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Ninetails | 56c | 268.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0785backed Xipto GC | 70c | 230$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed Xipto GC | 55c | 230$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…d3dabacked Xipto GC | 71c | 214$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c6…5791backed Xipto GC | 71c | 193$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…3606backed Xipto GC | 71c | 192$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Xipto GC | 73c | 190.81$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Ninetails | 69c | 164.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Xipto GC | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Ninetails | 28c | 142.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Xipto GC | 68c | 140.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed Ninetails | 62c | 119.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…f6ebbacked Xipto GC | 73c | 114.18$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b9…6a13backed Xipto GC | 70c | 110$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ninetails | 35c | 108.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Xipto GC | 56c | 103.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Ninetails | 33c | 91.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Ninetails | 33c | 76.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed Xipto GC | 74c | 67.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Xipto GC | 67c | 63.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…baa4backed Ninetails | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Ninetails | 51c | 43.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Ninetails | 47c | 37.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fd…b33cbacked Xipto GC | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xipto GC | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…2cdcbacked Xipto GC | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…3907backed Ninetails | 67c | 21.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Ninetails vs Xipto GC (BO3)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Ninetails vs Xipto GC - Map 1 WinnerNinetails won
- Valorant: Ninetails vs Xipto GC - Map 2 WinnerXipto GC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.