Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x614432ee01a1c960eb88d32a00ca004e270e690e5008a07e9c9a6c9729adcbb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 46c | 32,143$14,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,783.67 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 54c | 12,500$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 5,958$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.68 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 5,927$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.58 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 3,978$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.38 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…de05backed Yes | 6c | 3,400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 2,807$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.33 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 2,435$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 54c | 1,158$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.46 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 54c | 693.54$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.32 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 63c | 356.7$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.42 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Yes | 29c | 345.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 46c | 299$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.54 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 46c | 293.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 53c | 288.04$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 270.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.42 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 40c | 227.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…10a3backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 72c | 206.14$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 37c | 165.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…6b5cbacked Yes | 43c | 163.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 55c | 162.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Yes | 40c | 116$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 55c | 108$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 106.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c0…d431backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed Yes | 38c | 94.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 26c | 78.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 72c | 68.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8c…47eabacked Yes | 34c | 67.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed No | 59c | 63.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 46c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…1e05backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…f0abbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c0…8e1bbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 67c | 47.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…2ba7backed Yes | 30c | 39.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 46c | 36.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed No | 56c | 35.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed No | 54c | 29.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will FC Alverca vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.