NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61d0c0dd63e76d87d589289fa52546d067276b20de57ac697468f5a60aa5c28b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Pelicans, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pelicans | 38c | 11,390$4,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,088.81 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 3,224$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.92 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 3,057$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.03 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 2,591$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.96 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…b9abbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 1,953$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee1…d07abacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 1,868$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans | 47c | 1,574$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.7 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 1,307$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.75 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 61c | 1,264$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.57 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa0…aacdbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 1,121$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 1,100$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…2233backed Pelicans | 69c | 970.87$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8233…32fabacked Trail Blazers | 34c | 970.85$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Pelicans | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2b…e0e6backed Trail Blazers | 65c | 572.13$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 435.65$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Trail Blazers | 80c | 359.51$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.61 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…8d72backed Pelicans | 70c | 301.43$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…4334backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 301.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 194.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb037…a49ebacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Pelicans | 66c | 174.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…33e8backed Trail Blazers | 72c | 170.24$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfe…bc07backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 163.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c05…0c07backed Pelicans | 70c | 162.86$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Pelicans | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Pelicans | 69c | 144.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pelicans | 66c | 107.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…362dbacked Trail Blazers | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…6dbebacked Pelicans | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Trail Blazers | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Pelicans | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…ee66backed Pelicans | 68c | 87.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…970ebacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 82.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Pelicans | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…3374backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Pelicans | 70c | 66.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Pelicans | 31c | 65.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c5…4fa3backed Pelicans | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Pelicans | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Pelicans | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 37.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…9b5fbacked Pelicans | 71c | 34.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Trail Blazers | 63c | 28.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…e7f1backed Pelicans | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…d8e6backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 22.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073c…68a5backed Pelicans | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…abf4backed Pelicans | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…b755backed Pelicans | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Trail Blazers | 61c | 19.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.