Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Krejcikova vs Linette
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6211bc52fc90ecc93e2ef21cee34ec587dbf3a05a51cefcb8fe68c5522cfd851
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krejcikovaof Krejcikova, Linette
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Krejcikova | 71c | 300.68$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Linette | 41c | 267.41$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Linette | 15c | 190$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Krejcikova | 61c | 172.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Krejcikova | 52c | 148$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccf…aa10backed Krejcikova | 75c | 132.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Krejcikova | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Linette | 23c | 129.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…fc07backed Linette | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Linette | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…b271backed Linette | 35c | 99.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Linette | 31c | 87.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Linette | 43c | 81.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Krejcikova | 56c | 70.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Linette | 37c | 63.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Krejcikova vs Linettethis page
- Barbora Krejcikova vs. Magda Linette: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Krejcikova vs. Linette: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda LinetteBarbora Krejcikova won
- Set 2 Winner: Krejcikova vs LinetteKrejcikova won
- Set Handicap: Krejcikova (-1.5) vs Linette (+1.5)Krejcikova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.