Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62bcdd243387462d5e1e28506feae88d810acc8a274c6e459a97f5618b690754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 63c | 318.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.13 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 37c | 193.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 192.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 160.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 33c | 125.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 38c | 104.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…902dbacked No | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 31c | 71.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 33c | 56.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…9c82backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 39c | 49.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 70c | 47.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 63c | 46.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 33c | 46.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 39c | 44.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 41c | 44.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…2971backed Yes | 34c | 43.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…a1a5backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 65c | 34.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 31c | 33.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…d801backed No | 64c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…070fbacked Yes | 43c | 32.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 32.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 67c | 31.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…794cbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf0…1ea1backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 62c | 23.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 60c | 21.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…66b4backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…5dadbacked No | 62c | 16.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.