Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Haven Chargers vs. Fordham Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x639766ea3b6ff78ffaa5d0280da2bd239e616152368abf1c78417420dd1bb5ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fordham Ramsof New Haven Chargers, Fordham Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked New Haven Chargers | 9c | 7,312$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed New Haven Chargers | 12c | 3,423$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.08 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed New Haven Chargers | 6c | 3,275$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New Haven Chargers | 13c | 2,883$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.59 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New Haven Chargers | 9c | 2,629$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.63 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked New Haven Chargers | 8c | 1,485$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Haven Chargers | 5c | 1,370$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked New Haven Chargers | 10c | 1,347$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.72 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked New Haven Chargers | 10c | 1,295$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed New Haven Chargers | 11c | 1,146$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.44 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked New Haven Chargers | 31c | 949.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed New Haven Chargers | 10c | 620$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Fordham Rams | 75c | 574.56$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked New Haven Chargers | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +19.3wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed New Haven Chargers | 18c | 405.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked New Haven Chargers | 10c | 376.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed New Haven Chargers | 13c | 348.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New Haven Chargers | 16c | 343.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed New Haven Chargers | 10c | 311.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed New Haven Chargers | 11c | 307$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked New Haven Chargers | 10c | 259.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed New Haven Chargers | 11c | 182.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fordham Rams | 69c | 166.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…8e6cbacked New Haven Chargers | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fordham Rams | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed New Haven Chargers | 10c | 129$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Haven Chargers | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Fordham Rams | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Fordham Rams | 77c | 62.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Fordham Rams | 78c | 30.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…e8a3backed Fordham Rams | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Haven Chargers vs. Fordham Ramsthis page
- New Haven Chargers vs. Fordham Rams: O/U 126.5Under won
- New Haven Chargers vs. Fordham Rams: O/U 127.5Under won
- New Haven Chargers vs. Fordham Rams: O/U 128.5Under won
- New Haven Chargers vs. Fordham Rams: O/U 129.5Under won
- Spread: Fordham Rams (-12.5)Fordham Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.