South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x639bd1f87c6c124dcae50e35bb1ccad2d1e3a78bdce0e0e3a16c4bfb9a8fbcf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Under | 3c | 10,472$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.15 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 1c | 3,011$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 2,434$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.87 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Under | 42c | 1,976$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 28c | 1,739$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 58c | 1,709$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.9 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 1,546$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.2 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 71c | 1,525$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.89 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +287.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Under | 2c | 1,250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +392.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 76c | 941.86$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.14 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 921.19$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.31 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 72c | 698.71$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.64 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 10c | 458.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 30c | 404.8$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Over | 79c | 331.03$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 7c | 286.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 4c | 258$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 246.18$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 76c | 246$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 76c | 245.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 76c | 244.72$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5881…ca26backed Over | 78c | 231$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Under | 24c | 215.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 10c | 195.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 29c | 137.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 27c | 75.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 24c | 71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 28c | 51.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 28c | 45.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 73c | 44.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 71c | 35.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 76c | 33.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…9633backed Over | 72c | 20.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: Clube do Remo 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: Clube do Remo O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: Fluminense FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: Fluminense FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: Fluminense FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Clube do Remo won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)Clube do Remo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.