NFL · resolved market
Will Raiders vs. Panthers be the highest scoring game of Week 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63b3c75dd12d151328dd1fb1a139d1a017ed7e3d47de5d060833dc81a7f6adca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 30c | 999.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Yes | 70c | 905.71$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 70c | 799.99$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.29 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Yes | 73c | 600$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 68c | 582.82$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.63 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 33c | 510.19$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.26 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…3377backed No | 33c | 499.36$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 3c | 455.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 360.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…ad9dbacked Yes | 20c | 350$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…28a0backed No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed Yes | 70c | 254.17$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…ee5fbacked Yes | 70c | 235$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc34…ff67backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…42e1backed No | 31c | 161.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…08ccbacked Yes | 70c | 161.15$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 10c | 158.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +9.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…2284backed Yes | 70c | 142.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 33c | 105$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc725…34e7backed Yes | 70c | 101.37$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…455fbacked Yes | 70c | 35.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…0bc4backed Yes | 79c | 14.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Raiders vs. Panthers be the highest scoring game of Week 3?this page
- Will Bears vs. Colts be the highest scoring game of Week 3?No won
- Will Bengals vs. Commanders be the highest scoring game of Week 3?Yes won
- Will Bills vs. Jaguars be the highest scoring game of Week 3?No won
- Will Cardinals vs. Lions be the highest scoring game of Week 3?No won
- Will Cowboys vs. Ravens be the highest scoring game of Week 3?No won
- Will Rams vs. 49ers be the highest scoring game of Week 3?No won
- Will Saints vs. Eagles be the highest scoring game of Week 3?No won
- Will Seahawks vs. Dolphins be the highest scoring game of Week 3?No won
- Will Vikings vs. Texans be the highest scoring game of Week 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.