Tennis · resolved market
Brasov: Cezar Cretu vs Olle Wallin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x645df1ae8845710d7704f7e9f0ba2278fad73692ab9b758ff67b8978a3be78cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olle Wallinof Cezar Cretu, Olle Wallin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Olle Wallin | 26c | 3,083$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.55 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cezar Cretu | 11c | 1,680$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.54 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Olle Wallin | 27c | 1,636$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.98 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Olle Wallin | 78c | 1,535$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cezar Cretu | 74c | 752.17$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.61 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Cezar Cretu | 73c | 685.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cezar Cretu | 59c | 659.88$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.12 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Olle Wallin | 26c | 506.66$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.06 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…3e9ebacked Cezar Cretu | 71c | 502.54$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cezar Cretu | 22c | 497.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Cezar Cretu | 69c | 493$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.21 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6666…2f2ebacked Cezar Cretu | 73c | 479.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Olle Wallin | 29c | 458.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.72 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Olle Wallin | 27c | 441.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.53 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Cezar Cretu | 73c | 366$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.18 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cezar Cretu | 37c | 365.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Cezar Cretu | 71c | 297.11$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.95 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Olle Wallin | 27c | 264.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.05 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Olle Wallin | 37c | 249.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Cezar Cretu | 73c | 164.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Olle Wallin | 27c | 142.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Cezar Cretu | 62c | 142.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Olle Wallin | 26c | 130$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Cezar Cretu | 73c | 126.83$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Cezar Cretu | 74c | 108.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…141bbacked Cezar Cretu | 64c | 102.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Cezar Cretu | 40c | 90.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Olle Wallin | 28c | 87.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cezar Cretu | 73c | 85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Cezar Cretu | 34c | 76.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cezar Cretu | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Olle Wallin | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Cezar Cretu | 76c | 69.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Olle Wallin | 28c | 67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Olle Wallin | 66c | 59.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Olle Wallin | 26c | 56.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cezar Cretu | 74c | 53.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Olle Wallin | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Olle Wallin | 23c | 45.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cezar Cretu | 66c | 45.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…cc50backed Cezar Cretu | 72c | 44.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Cezar Cretu | 71c | 42.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Cezar Cretu | 64c | 35.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Cezar Cretu | 74c | 33.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Olle Wallin | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Cezar Cretu | 74c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Cezar Cretu | 66c | 27.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…7e45backed Cezar Cretu | 77c | 27.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 68cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Cezar Cretu | 45c | 24.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Cezar Cretu | 72c | 22.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Cezar Cretu | 65c | 17.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Cezar Cretu | 71c | 16.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Cezar Cretu | 74c | 14.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.