Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64620d59c1b0c1ea2bc159af2c3233c6d598dfb3d090b9bd9e1c483c3f2869eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 682.05$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.46 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 58c | 354.93$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.31 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 43c | 329.77$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.92 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 60c | 317.79$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.58 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 57c | 212.62$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 57c | 206.47$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 40c | 196.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 60c | 191.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 41c | 163.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac08…d29dbacked Under | 67c | 139.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Over | 41c | 109.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 60c | 88.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 43c | 65.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cde…11c6backed Over | 33c | 60.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 54c | 41.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Under | 64c | 35.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked Under | 60c | 23.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)Invictus Gaming won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.