Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x648f3e8f726660d7f46b4756380c3c9dd957ab79c4c7fa33ab651dc2205b1a78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BBL Esportsof FUT Esports, BBL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed BBL Esports | 59c | 17,124$10,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,058.16 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed FUT Esports | 35c | 3,752$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.17 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked FUT Esports | 35c | 3,258$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.3 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed BBL Esports | 75c | 2,608$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.45 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed FUT Esports | 38c | 2,370$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.22 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed FUT Esports | 18c | 2,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports | 50c | 2,212$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.92 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed FUT Esports | 41c | 1,482$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.67 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed FUT Esports | 45c | 1,118$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.1 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 1,027$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.9 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports | 39c | 799.01$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.82 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports | 40c | 698.76$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.92 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 492.46$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.39 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked FUT Esports | 42c | 424$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.96 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…411dbacked FUT Esports | 68c | 404$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed BBL Esports | 50c | 394.51$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.9 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked FUT Esports | 68c | 375.4$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.27 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed BBL Esports | 52c | 371.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked FUT Esports | 31c | 288.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fa…26d9backed FUT Esports | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 190.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BBL Esports | 79c | 174.92$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed FUT Esports | 66c | 167.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c44…1168backed FUT Esports | 64c | 137.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BBL Esports | 46c | 119.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FUT Esports | 69c | 115.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked BBL Esports | 33c | 105.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed FUT Esports | 15c | 88.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…d263backed FUT Esports | 28c | 73.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FUT Esports | 33c | 72.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed FUT Esports | 68c | 71.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed FUT Esports | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 226 | 49.1%111 W · 115 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed FUT Esports | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FUT Esports | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…c678backed FUT Esports | 37c | 56.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BBL Esports | 63c | 53.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…a27abacked FUT Esports | 32c | 50.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FUT Esports | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked FUT Esports | 41c | 40.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 268 | 58.6%157 W · 111 L | +18.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed BBL Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed BBL Esports | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed FUT Esports | 67c | 31.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ac…b7c9backed FUT Esports | 73c | 27.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked FUT Esports | 59c | 25.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed BBL Esports | 56c | 25.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed BBL Esports | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed FUT Esports | 67c | 22.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…5679backed FUT Esports | 45c | 22.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2BBL Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.