Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6a8a7672ab2452abce5c34f8503d6e80da2b8d2f09c4c9764698beec376ed21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, BBL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed BBL Esports | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.99 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FUT Esports | 57c | 5,852$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.87 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked BBL Esports | 43c | 1,047$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BBL Esports | 48c | 840$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.56 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 800$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports | 61c | 587.21$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.61 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 569.62$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.18 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed FUT Esports | 55c | 525.87$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.83 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FUT Esports | 48c | 452.13$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.96 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…411dbacked BBL Esports | 46c | 427.57$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed FUT Esports | 56c | 405.56$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 381$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.69 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed BBL Esports | 46c | 325$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…f88bbacked BBL Esports | 36c | 276.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed BBL Esports | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked BBL Esports | 25c | 181.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 174.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed FUT Esports | 57c | 163$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed FUT Esports | 54c | 157.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed FUT Esports | 75c | 154.72$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed FUT Esports | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…a27abacked BBL Esports | 32c | 129.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed FUT Esports | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed FUT Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed BBL Esports | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked FUT Esports | 68c | 59.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…c678backed FUT Esports | 76c | 52.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked BBL Esports | 29c | 48.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 42.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed FUT Esports | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FUT Esports | 53c | 29.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed FUT Esports | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2BBL Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 1 WinnerBBL Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.