Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tauste: Tomas Quesada Perez vs Luka Talan Lopatic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x649faf171b7b11b6ccc2e934e10e1ec73db9058f9584973c180cc1585573aca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luka Talan Lopaticof Tomas Quesada Perez, Luka Talan Lopatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 39c | 2,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.99 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tomas Quesada Perez | 65c | 986.46$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.2 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tomas Quesada Perez | 19c | 599.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 67c | 487.25$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.41 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 79c | 370.29$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32dd…bfdebacked Tomas Quesada Perez | 23c | 336.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tomas Quesada Perez | 56c | 299$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.44 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 77c | 249.61$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Tomas Quesada Perez | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Tomas Quesada Perez | 22c | 130.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 67c | 120.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tomas Quesada Perez | 31c | 109$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Tomas Quesada Perez | 56c | 101.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 35c | 99.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Tomas Quesada Perez | 70c | 93.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Tomas Quesada Perez | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed Tomas Quesada Perez | 20c | 86.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Tomas Quesada Perez | 21c | 80.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Tomas Quesada Perez | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Tomas Quesada Perez | 31c | 67.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Tomas Quesada Perez | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Tomas Quesada Perez | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 79c | 49.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Tomas Quesada Perez | 42c | 48.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 72c | 35.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Tomas Quesada Perez | 68c | 31.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Tomas Quesada Perez | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tomas Quesada Perez | 56c | 31.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Tomas Quesada Perez | 70c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Tomas Quesada Perez | 68c | 27.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 77c | 24.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca4…6a7fbacked Luka Talan Lopatic | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…41b2backed Luka Talan Lopatic | 77c | 13.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.