CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64ae9fc568e46783284ae2149ded30b35586e281881728d0b2f703319c7435d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof Eternal Fire, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked magic | 65c | 9,000$5,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Eternal Fire | 35c | 5,969$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.61 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed magic | 66c | 5,500$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.99 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 2,627$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.18 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 1,932$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.8 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…304fbacked Eternal Fire | 34c | 1,159$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.86 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed magic | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Eternal Fire | 34c | 864$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 64c | 764.53$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.94 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Eternal Fire | 39c | 723.82$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.29 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 697.55$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.19 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Eternal Fire | 34c | 570.59$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Eternal Fire | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…1c05backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 477.51$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked magic | 66c | 439$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.12 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed magic | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…5d87backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 395.05$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 380.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.39 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed magic | 67c | 343.22$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.26 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 332.15$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 310.72$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Eternal Fire | 35c | 309.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…9727backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 261.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Eternal Fire | 16c | 254.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Eternal Fire | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Eternal Fire | 34c | 227.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Eternal Fire | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire | 16c | 193.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed magic | 67c | 185.07$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Eternal Fire | 34c | 159.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Eternal Fire | 35c | 149.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed magic | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 12c | 139.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Eternal Fire | 24c | 111.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1174…059abacked Eternal Fire | 45c | 110.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Eternal Fire | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 66c | 109$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 109$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd8…8f97backed Eternal Fire | 18c | 108.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 107.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked Eternal Fire | 34c | 90.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked magic | 63c | 76.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…2206backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 75.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed magic | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed magic | 58c | 66.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Eternal Fire | 44c | 54.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked magic | 65c | 51.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked magic | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed magic | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…c27dbacked Eternal Fire | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed magic | 67c | 49.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 49.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Eternal Fire | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 46.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked magic | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Eternal Fire | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked magic | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Eternal Fire | 36c | 41.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 40.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Eternal Fire | 40c | 39.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed magic | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed magic | 66c | 33.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 32.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked magic | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Eternal Fire | 43c | 30.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Eternal Fire | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…f352backed Eternal Fire | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed magic | 61c | 26.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked magic | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs magic - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.