Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Esther Adeshina vs Eliz Maloney
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64ed421356d60908ceba8d9c19812efd80387cc964f4ed2bdd8af5f9aa9531d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eliz Maloneyof Esther Adeshina, Eliz Maloney
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Esther Adeshina | 55c | 750$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.9 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Eliz Maloney | 45c | 486.6$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.63 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Eliz Maloney | 44c | 458.95$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Eliz Maloney | 45c | 238$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Esther Adeshina | 57c | 213.43$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.58 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Esther Adeshina | 54c | 183.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Esther Adeshina | 55c | 159.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Eliz Maloney | 45c | 148.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Esther Adeshina | 54c | 147.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eliz Maloney | 47c | 142.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Esther Adeshina | 47c | 117.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Esther Adeshina | 53c | 103.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Eliz Maloney | 79c | 102$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Eliz Maloney | 42c | 69.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Esther Adeshina | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Eliz Maloney | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 214 | 19.6%42 W · 172 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Eliz Maloney | 44c | 37.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eliz Maloney | 48c | 34.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Eliz Maloney | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eliz Maloney | 45c | 29.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Eliz Maloney | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Esther Adeshina | 70c | 24.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Eliz Maloney | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Esther Adeshina | 54c | 21.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.