Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x653693b6893a3a68bbffc77c5b5ab5b317678e45cb4c96161ccb5d5994068867
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 27c | 18,400$4,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,450.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 3,781$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.22 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 73c | 2,512$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.44 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 73c | 900$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.7 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 73c | 798.3$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.24 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 27c | 749.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.56 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 73c | 700.34$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.55 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Under | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 57c | 305.34$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 74c | 234.9$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.93 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 27c | 190$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 73c | 135.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 74c | 128.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 73c | 109$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 74c | 98.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 74c | 89.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 74c | 63.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…0954backed Under | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 75c | 45.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 43c | 44.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 73c | 42.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 42c | 37.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 74c | 37.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked Under | 74c | 37.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 74c | 37.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 72c | 32.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 73c | 28.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 73c | 26.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 56c | 21.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 73c | 17.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 75c | 13.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 74c | 13.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.