TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

KHL: Torpedo vs. Severstal Cherepovets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Torpedoof Torpedo, Severstal Cherepovets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fd6…779bbacked Severstal Cherepovets50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef71…892fbacked Torpedo50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0003100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Severstal Cherepovets50c1,373$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.0328447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Torpedo44c1,346$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.8711949.6%59 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Torpedo50c931.23$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.471,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Severstal Cherepovets74c910.42$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.791,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Severstal Cherepovets52c622.93$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.451949.5%257 W · 262 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Severstal Cherepovets62c600$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.9199638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Torpedo6c457.15$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.5315560%93 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Torpedo51c452.49$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7211537.4%43 W · 72 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Torpedo45c334.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.083647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x159a…d8dbbacked Severstal Cherepovets22c322.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Severstal Cherepovets20c222$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.622138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a1…eb44backed Torpedo51c220$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82e4…183fbacked Severstal Cherepovets49c220$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b1…4ac1backed Torpedo51c219.9$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65be…9b79backed Severstal Cherepovets49c219$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2183…91bfbacked Severstal Cherepovets49c218$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e4…850ebacked Torpedo51c216.85$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd872…9093backed Severstal Cherepovets49c216.85$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7690…c4a0backed Torpedo51c216.81$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc548…6c70backed Torpedo51c216.73$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7be4…046dbacked Torpedo51c216.32$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f44…c5bdbacked Torpedo51c216.19$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0651…21fabacked Severstal Cherepovets49c214$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd7…eac5backed Severstal Cherepovets49c213$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b74…addcbacked Torpedo50c212.93$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad11…e02fbacked Severstal Cherepovets49c212$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b6…fcd0backed Torpedo50c209.75$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1391…e2c1backed Torpedo51c209.66$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a0…0616backed Torpedo51c209$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc78…9221backed Severstal Cherepovets49c209$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x474d…b253backed Severstal Cherepovets49c209$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc058…47acbacked Torpedo51c208.48$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa011…a700backed Severstal Cherepovets49c207$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e9c…77ccbacked Severstal Cherepovets49c207$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6214…6b07backed Severstal Cherepovets50c207$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a1…5006backed Severstal Cherepovets49c207$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe180…1d53backed Severstal Cherepovets50c206$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9417…05d0backed Torpedo51c205.52$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x013b…cb8abacked Torpedo51c205.52$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f2…7747backed Torpedo51c205.07$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b79…e76fbacked Severstal Cherepovets50c205$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a2…dc78backed Severstal Cherepovets49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3735…2393backed Severstal Cherepovets49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59c7…a3f5backed Severstal Cherepovets50c203$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945b…61b6backed Torpedo51c202.68$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x176f…1b5fbacked Torpedo51c202.34$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14d6…6f25backed Torpedo51c201.35$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6eb…ed0cbacked Severstal Cherepovets49c201$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cd…8073backed Torpedo51c200.12$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25a6…4a35backed Severstal Cherepovets49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x141b…2c4bbacked Severstal Cherepovets49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3600…036fbacked Torpedo50c199.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a09…659bbacked Torpedo50c197.07$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28f3…feb1backed Severstal Cherepovets49c196$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41c1…9537backed Torpedo51c195.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5365…d694backed Torpedo50c195.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80b5…2fbfbacked Severstal Cherepovets49c194$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee3…4f49backed Severstal Cherepovets49c193$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa57a…678cbacked Torpedo51c192.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa022…a7eebacked Severstal Cherepovets49c192$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcf…e04ebacked Torpedo51c191.93$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b85…5995backed Severstal Cherepovets49c191$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ce5…e31fbacked Torpedo50c190.09$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…741fbacked Severstal Cherepovets50c190$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffbe…e7b9backed Torpedo51c189.27$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa847…791dbacked Severstal Cherepovets50c189$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c49…0f96backed Severstal Cherepovets50c188$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x916b…056bbacked Severstal Cherepovets49c188$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bdb…e5d2backed Torpedo51c187.88$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2755…be1ebacked Severstal Cherepovets49c187$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4bf…d8ecbacked Torpedo51c187$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e33…eda6backed Severstal Cherepovets50c186$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf26…66f1backed Torpedo51c185.32$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce4…c234backed Severstal Cherepovets49c185$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0d…8efcbacked Torpedo50c184.91$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322f…bee1backed Torpedo50c184.25$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x862b…6f54backed Torpedo51c183.65$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa294…7514backed Torpedo51c183.1$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f6…b21fbacked Torpedo51c182.93$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8241…5f36backed Severstal Cherepovets49c182.93$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a9…bec2backed Severstal Cherepovets49c182$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff8f…2e76backed Torpedo51c182$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0a…35d8backed Severstal Cherepovets49c181$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8068…27edbacked Severstal Cherepovets49c178$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+63%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Torpedo54c172.8$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.738035%28 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e6…2d09backed Severstal Cherepovets50c158$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Severstal Cherepovets76c157$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.724946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Torpedo50c149.8$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.953849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b8…a6d4backed Severstal Cherepovets50c146$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Torpedo48c142.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.278339.8%33 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…07d0backed Severstal Cherepovets50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Severstal Cherepovets46c120.63$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4983149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Severstal Cherepovets53c116.06$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6230549.2%150 W · 155 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf98…a5c3backed Torpedo50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Severstal Cherepovets50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Torpedo51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4945447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Severstal Cherepovets51c97.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Torpedo51c94.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.431060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.